The Winds Are Already Here
We are already in recession. It started with the poorest of us three years ago. More people feel it now — even big companies know, because their customers either stop coming, buy less, or get displaced by higher-income customers trading down. Presidents don’t typically cause recessions, but they can slow them down or make them worse.
This isn’t abstract. In 2025, Congress passed the “One Big Beautiful Bill” and stripped the safety net down to the frame. These are the outer bands hitting right now:
- ACA subsidies — gone since January 1. 7.3 million people already losing coverage. Premiums doubling for 20 million more.
- Medicaid — $715 billion in cuts over the next decade. 8.6 million people losing coverage. New work requirements starting end of 2026.
- SNAP — gutted after the election. States forced to share costs that were 100% federal. Expanded work requirements. More paperwork between families and food.
- Medicare — $536 billion in cuts triggered through 2034.
- CHIP — restricted. Immigrant children losing eligibility starting October 2026.
- VA healthcare — privatized by redirect. 75% of all new VA medical funding is going to private corporations, not the VA itself. Community care budget jumped 67% in one year. The system built specifically for veterans is being hollowed out while corporate chains capture the revenue.
- CDC, NIH, education, housing assistance — 23% across-the-board cuts to non-defense spending.
People in Florida 3 are already living this. Rural counties with thin healthcare coverage just got thinner. Families who were barely making it on SNAP just lost ground. Seniors on Medicare are watching the math change under their feet.
Two Crashes. One Window.
When people say “the economy is fine,” they’re looking at the stock market. When people say “the economy is broken,” they’re looking at their bank account. They’re both right. That’s the problem.
Main Street — already here
Credit cards maxed. Buy-now-pay-later replacing savings. Dollar stores replacing grocery stores. The bottom rung went underwater after 2008 and never came back. COVID let them breathe; now they’re under again. The middle rung is getting wet. This isn’t a forecast. This is Tuesday.
Wall Street — wobbling
Shadow banking. AI companies burning cash in circles. Private equity loading debt onto companies and walking away. Commercial real estate half-empty. Crypto. Memecoins. The same hollow engineering that looked strong in 2007. The stock market is still posting highs — and the executives who run those companies are selling their own shares at six times the normal rate. They know.
When Wall Street catches up to Main Street — when the crash hits people who are already drowning — that’s 2008 but worse. Because this time, people don’t have savings. They don’t have credit. And the safety net has been gutted.
The gap between these two crashes is the preparation window. That’s what this plan is for. Not to stop the storm — to make sure this district is ready when it hits. And right now, nobody else in Congress is even talking about it.
The Strait Jacket
This section wasn’t in the original design of this website. But reality has a way of sneaking up on us. I built this site around the economy, energy, healthcare — the structural issues I’ve been thinking about for years. Then a war started, and everything I was worried about accelerated on a timeline I didn’t expect. So here we are.
What’s happening right now
- The Strait of Hormuz is 95% shut down — the largest supply disruption in history
- Gas is $4.14/gallon (+40%). Fertilizer up 49%. Plastics up 41%. All hitting Florida 3 at once
- Even if it opened tomorrow: nine months minimum to recover. Some damage takes years
- 45 million more people heading toward food insecurity by June
- US oil companies posting record profits and not increasing production
- Peace talks cancelled. No off-ramp in sight
The Plan
We can’t stop the storm. But we can prepare. Here’s the plan, phase by phase.
Stop the Bleeding
Day one — fight to restore what’s been cut. ACA subsidies back. Medicaid funding restored. SNAP as it was. And 100% federal Medicaid funding so governors can’t use the state match as an excuse to leave rural areas without doctors.
Day One PlanBring Our Money Home
Go after every federal grant, earmark, and funding stream that’s already authorized. Money that Florida 3 taxpayers paid in and never got back. Our current representative submits zero earmarks. That stops.
Federal Dollars HomeStorm-Proof the District
Whether the safety net gets restored or not, we build local infrastructure that can carry the load. Mobile clinics. Local food systems. Disaster-rated housing. Local energy. The pages below are the specifics.
After the Storm
Clearing the wreckage and storm-proofing the district matters. But if we rebuild the same road with the same design, it collapses again. After the storm, we need something better.
A UBI floor so no one starts from zero. F-Corp reform so corporations can’t extract indefinitely from the communities they operate in. This isn’t first-term legislation — it’s a conversation that needs to start now so we’re ready when the window opens.
The Floor & F-CorpConsequences with Teeth
In 2008, the economy collapsed and we bailed out the companies that caused it. But nobody went to prison. Not one major Wall Street executive was held accountable. The public paid $700 billion and got zero consequences for the people who broke it.
The people who caused the collapse designed the recovery — and surprise, they designed it to benefit themselves. That’s how you get a recovery where the stock market doubles while wages stay flat for a decade. And they rebuilt the same disaster that is going to be worse and hurt us even more. It is like Lucy with the football and we are Charlie Brown. We cannot let them get away with it again.
Next time — and there will be a next time — there must be consequences. If we have to stabilize the system, fine. But the people who broke it answer for it. Bailouts come with prosecution, not bonuses. They don’t get to crash the economy and then sit at the table writing the rules for the rebuild.
Accountability isn’t revenge. It’s what makes people accept the bailout. Without it, we’re just rewarding the people who caused the wreck — and giving them a reason to do it all over again.
I’ve put together a plan for how this works — the Fair Bailout Act. Executive clawback, mandatory F-Corp conversion, and bridge payments that go to people instead of corporations.
The Full Picture
What’s actually happening with Hormuz, and why it matters here
Have you ever driven past an accident on the highway and almost rear-ended the car in front of you? The Iran war is the accident. Crashing into the car in front is what can happen to Wall Street any moment. Most people see bits and pieces. But who’s looking at everything and how they connect?
The Strait of Hormuz isn’t just about oil. Ship traffic dropped 95% — from 130 ships a day to single digits. Roughly 13 million barrels of oil a day off the market, 2,000 ships stuck, 20,000 sailors stranded. But oil is almost the least of it. Everything else that moves through that strait is backing up too:
- Fertilizer: Prices up almost 50%. Most US farmers say they can’t afford what they need. Spring planting has a deadline — miss it and the whole season is gone. 45 million more people worldwide heading toward hunger by June.
- Fuel and propane: Gas at $4.14 — up 40%. Rural homes in Florida 3 that heat with propane are getting hit hardest. Oil companies are posting record profits and not pumping more. Their executives are selling their own stock at six times the normal rate. They know what’s coming.
- Plastics: 85% of Middle East plastic exports go through this strait. IV bags, food packaging, medical supplies — all up 41% and climbing.
- Helium: Qatar’s main helium plant is damaged. There’s no substitute for making computer chips. Three to five years to fix. There is no shortcut.
All of this is hitting Florida 3 at the same time. Fertilizer up, fuel up, propane up, plastics up, food prices up — in a district with below-average income, no public transit, and an economy that depends on farming. And the emergency food aid that usually helps absorb a global shock like this has been gutted.
Think of it like a fire exit. Everybody rushes for the door at the same time, but the door is locked. Even after it opens, the crush of people trying to get through means it takes much longer than it should. That’s what’s happening to global shipping right now.
During COVID, ships backed up at ports. The ports were open — they were just slow. It still took three years to clear. This is worse. The road itself is closed. And farming has deadlines that can’t wait. Miss one planting season and the next harvest is six months away. Each delay stacks on top of the last one. Food prices won’t come back down until late 2027 at the earliest.
And here’s what nobody in Washington wants to say out loud: China can make its own fertilizer. Russia is the world’s biggest fertilizer exporter. The war was supposed to weaken them. Instead, it handed them leverage. We went to war to show strength. The result is that they’re more independent and we’re more dependent.
That’s why this plan is about depending less on decisions made far away — so we call our own shots instead of reacting to someone else’s. Our electric bills are going up because of decisions made in other states — here’s why and what we do about it.